Episode 32: Is Australia Headed for an Economic Crash?

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Episode Description:

In this episode, we’re joined again by Nathan Lim, Chief Investment Officer at Lonsec, one of Australia’s most prominent investment research, ratings and implemented solutions businesses serving financial advisers, fund managers and the superannuation industry.

Nathan talks about the “two-speed consumer” phenomenon in Australia, the importance of strong employment numbers as an indicator of a soft landing, and the impact of immigration on housing demand and inflation.

He also discusses the potential risks of wage growth exceeding the RBA’s inflation target, the stimulatory effects of upcoming tax cuts, and the implications of aggressive interest rate hikes on household debt levels.

If you want to understand the complex dynamics shaping Australia’s economy and how they might affect your investments and financial planning, then make sure to listen to this episode!

Timestamps:

00:00 – Intro

02:18 – Economic Insights & Research Findings

05:19 – Interest Rates & Inflation Trajectory for 2024

11:50 – Being in a “Two-Speed Economy”

16:39 – Economic Indicators That Show We’re in a “Late Cycle” in the Economy

20:54 – Cash Flow Management Restriction Trend & Mortgage Delinquencies Within Australia

26:30 – Australia’s Population & Immigration Growth and It’s Economic Impact

31:39 – Australian Housing Market’s 2024 Insights & Portfolio Positioning

35:54 – Direct Property Investing

39:59 – Outro